Week 7 Preview

(FRI 10:30) Utah (-5.5) @ Arizona State, Draft Kings (Profit Boost)

A couple things make me want to take Utah here on the road. First QB Cam Rising is expected to play for Utah. Rising is almost 25 and still in college, those are almost Dusk numbers. Of course I am going to bet on him for that. Him playing changes a lot for Utah’s offense as it makes them much more dynamic through the air. Second, Arizona State’s offense cannot throw the ball effectively and has been a run heavy team. They now face Utah’s defense that has one of the top rush defenses in the nation. Lastly Utah HC Kyle Whittingham is 56-48-2 against the spread on the road. I’ll take Utah up to -6.5.

(SAT 12:00) Ball State @ Kent State (total 59.5) OVER, Bet Rivers

Are you ready for some lunch time MACtion?!? I know I am, because I’m a sicko. So, Let’s get Saturday kicked off with the two worst defenses in FBS going up against each other. Each team is coming off back to back games where they gave up 45 points or more. I expect this to be a sloppy game in a way that will produce lots of scoring (miss tackles, bad coverages, etc.). I almost feel obligated to bet on a MAC game every week. A good strategy for that would be just to fade Kent State, but if they are going to cover at all this year it would be this week. I’ll stay away from a side and just take the over, which I’d take to 61.5.

(SAT 3:30) Stanford (+23.5) @ Notre Dame, Fan Duel

I think this is too many points to cover for a Notre Dame that really doesn’t have any down field threat in their passing game. Notre Dame has a great run game, avg over 215 yards per game, but now they face a Stanford team with a top 20 rush defense nationally. Stanford is also returning their starting QB Ashton Daniels (883 yards 7 TD’s total) who missed the last game against Virginia Tech. I expect Stanford to keep the final score within 3 touchdowns, I like Stanford here.

(SAT 3:30) Purdue @ Illinois (-19), Draft Kings

(I took this game earlier in the week and it has skyrocketed to -22.5 as of writing this) This is a simple formula here, Fade Purdue! They are awful! Purdue ranks 110th in Kelley Ford’s Power Ratings, compared to Illinois at 44th. I expect QB Luke Altmeyer for Illinois to tear up this Purdue pass defense. On the opposite side of the ball Purdue’s offense can’t do anything well. They are -6 in the turnover margin and -1.20 per game. Illinois is +5 overall in the turnover margin and +8 at home. Some may say that this is a look ahead spot for Illinois with Michigan next week, but that doesn’t matter when facing PURDOODOO, who is also on another back-up QB. I expect Purdue to be on the wrong end of another beatdown.

(SAT 3:30) Cal @ Pittsburgh (-3.5), Fan Duel

So yinz think that some woke team from California is going to come into the Steel City and beat da Picksburgh Panthurs? I sure don’t. Cal is coming off a gut-wrenching home loss to Miami and now travels across the country to play Pitt in da ‘burgh. Since 2010 Cal has not fared well on the road after a home game going 10-39 (22-28 against the spread). That stat is just road games in general, now add in that this one is across the country. I like Pitt and QB Eli Holstein (15 TD’s 3 INT’s) to defend da Allegheny, Monongahela, and Ohio Rivers against Cal’s liberal Tik Tok football agenda. I’ll take the bad number at -3.5.

(SAT 3:30) Penn State (-3.5) @ Southern California, Fan Duel

This time Pennsylvania is bringing the fight to the Cali Tik Tokkers. Penn State travels to the Rose Bowl to defend Western PA culture (Truck night with your cousin down at DQ) against the fast paced LA lifestyle of USC (Botox and drug addiction). Penn State has a fantastic pass rush led by NFL prospect Abdul Carter. USC has struggled to protect QB Miller Moss off the edge. I expect Penn State’s defense to cause some problems for the Trojan’s offense. On the other side of the ball, USC has not been great against the run and PSU is looking to get back RB Nick Singelton. They should be able to run the ball effectively and control the game. Let’s just hope PSU James Franklin isn’t out foxed by USC HC Lincoln Reiley. I like Penn State up to -4.5.

(SAT 7:30) Ole Miss @ LSU (+3.5), Fan Duel (Profit Boost) “Aug Dog of the Week”

Listen, I hate LSU HC Brian Kelly and so does Auggie. Brian Kelly killed a graduate student at Notre Dame. However, this is a great situational spot for LSU. Ole Miss has played 6 games in row and now goes into to Death Valley to play LSU who has had a week of rest to prepare for Ole Miss. Ole Miss has a great run defense, but that wont matter for LSU and QB Garrett Nussmeier (15 TD’s 4 INT’s) who are a mainly passing offense. Ole Miss hasn’t been playing the best competition so maybe facing an elite passing game suddenly could take a toll on their defense. Auggie and I like LSU all the way to the Money Line.

(SAT 7:30) Ohio State (-3) @ Oregon, Draft Kings (Profit Boost)

The Buckeyes are a better team than Oregon in my eyes. Ohio State hasn’t struggled against their weak schedule and are coming off a nice handing of Iowa at home. They now travel west to play Oregon. The Ducks have done their part in handling weak teams as well, but at times they look sloppy. Oregon is -1 in the turnover margin, while Ohio State is +4. I believe Ohio State to be a top 2 in the country and maybe even #1. I expect them to take care of business. I’d take the Buckeyes to -3.5.

(SAT 8:00) Iowa State @ West Virginia (total 53.5) OVER, Fan Duel

We have two offenses going up against defenses that I think they both can expose. Iowa State QB Rocco Becht (9 TD’s 3 INT’s) should be able to expose a weak WVU passing defense. On the other side of the ball Iowa State is down multiple linebackers and is having a hard time containing explosive plays. One thing the WVU offense has been able to do very well is throw the ball behind QB Garrett Green (7 TD’s 4 INT’s). The game is in Morgantown, so I expect some burning couches, but I don’t expect them to play a role in the game. I’d take it up to 54.5.

(SAT 10:15) Kansas St @ Colorado (total 55.5) OVER, Fan Duel

Hey there Cowboy, I’m heading out West for another late night BIG 12 Shootout! Kansas State and Colorado should produce some fireworks between these high-powered offenses. Both offenses are littered with athletes. Kansas State is led by QB Avery Johnson (1200 yards 11 TD’s total) and RB DJ Giddens (695 yards 3 TD’s total). Colorado’s led by QB Sheduer Sanders (1630 14 TD’s 3 INT’s) and favorite targets Jimmy Horn Jr. (327 yards 1 TD), LaJohntay Wester (260 yards 5 TD’s), and dual threat player Travis Hunter (561 yards 6 TD’s). Both defenses will be chasing these guys all over the field. I expect points out in Rockies.