2026 Week 5 Picks
2026 Week 5 Picks
2026 Week 5 Picks
2026 Week 5 Picks
Thursday
North Texas @ Tulsa ML
Fan Duel (-115, 1 Unit to win 1.8 Units)
Tulsa is getting their starting QB back. Tulsa is +money as of day of the game.
North Texas 45 @ Tulsa 44 LOSS
Stayed up until 1:30 a.m. to watch Tulsa get stopped in OT at the .5-inch yard line. Overall great game, but a bad beat dampens the game for me.
Friday
Liberty -7 @ Delaware
Cesars (-110, 1 Unit to win 1.9 Units)
Delware's starting QB is injured.
Liberty 30 @ Delaware 14 WIN 1.9 Units
Liberty controlled this game from start to finish.
Pittsburgh @ Virginia Tech OVER 54.5
Fan Duel (-108, 1 Unit to win 1.9 Units)
These teams love to run a lot of plays per game.
Pittsburgh 35 @ Virginia Tech 32 Total 67 WIN 1.9 Units
Points were pouring in all game, even after Pitt's QB left the game injured.
Penn State @ Northwestern OVER 45.5
Bally Bet (-109, 1 Unit to win 1.9 Units)
I get both defenses are sound. However, both offenses are top 30 in redzone visits per game, points per play, and yards per point. This game seems like a 24-27 final score.
Penn State 13 @ Northwestern 34 Total 47 WIN 1.9 Units
The over seemed liked it would cash early on in the game. However, it got dicey at the end. Thankfully a late Northwestern field goal got us the over.
Saturday
12:00 Alabama -5.5 @ Mississippi State
Fan Duel (115, 1 Unit to win 1.8 Units)
In Alabama QB Keelon Russell we trust.
Alabama 56 @ Mississippi State 23 WIN 1.8 Units
Alabama took control early and never looked back. Keelon Russell is a stud!
3:30 Bowling Green @ Miami OH -13.5
Fan Duel (-105, 1 Unit to win 1.9 Units)
Miami OH is class of the MAC and Bowling Green is ass of the MAC.
Bowling Green 24 @ Miami OH 20 LOSS
Bowling Green threw the ball all over Miami OH, it took a late come back from Miami OH to take the lead, but they gave it up with 7 seconds. Fitting end to a game they had no business covering or winning.
3:30 Auburn @ Tennessee UNDER 54.5
Bet MGM (-112, 1 Unit to win 1.8 Units)
Rain in the forecast. I just feel this game will play to the under.
Auburn 14 @ Tennessee 24 Total 38 WIN 1.8 Units
It just felt like an under play.
3:30 Florida -4.5 @ Missouri
Cesars (-115, 1 Unit to win 1.8 Units)
Missouri HC Eli Drinkowitz has never defeated a top 25 team as head coach at Missouri. I think Florida RB Jadan Baugh runs through them like Mississippi State RB Fluff Bothwell did the week prior. Florida HC Jon Summeral has the Gators rolling and I don't think they eat the rat poison.
Florida 17 @ Missouri 45 LOSS
This is easily the worst pick of the week. Florida ate the rat poison and may not be the great team that everyone was crowning them as. Missouri dominated this game start to finish, even when it seemed like Florida was going to hang around Missouri snuffed them out really quick.
3:30 Eastern Michigan @ UMass UNDER 49
Fanatics (-110, 1 Unit to win 1.9 Units)
Both teams are very slow in between plays. UMass has one of the lowest plays per game number and EMU isn't far behind them in that category.
Eastern Michigan 38 @ UMASS 14 Total 52 LOSS
I liked EMU coming into this game and salty I didn't take them with the spread. I didn't think EMU would pour it on so much in the first half. I figured UMass would come back to earth but not like this. Too many points early cost the over.
4:15 Kentucky @ South Carolina OVER 53.5
Bet MGM (-108, 1 Unit to win 1.9 Units)
Kentucky's HC Will Stein is an offensive guru who will be able to find the endzone against a poor South Carolina defense. On the other side Gamecocks will be fighting for their Bowl lives and coach's job. If South Carolina loses this game, they will be on quit watch.
Kentucky 35 @ South Carolina 34 Total 69 WIN 1.9 Units
Maybe one of the better football games of the weekend. Points all over the place and an OT finish with a 2-point conversion. This one felt solid in the first half. Just watching this game at any time, you knew the over would cash.
7:00 BYU @ TCU UNDER 47.5 Dusk's Darling
Cesars (-104, 1 Unit to win 1.9 Units)
Hearing heavy rain coming from our Texas correspondents. Both teams have a great defense and also have offenses that take a lot of time between plays. Should keep scoring to a minimum and also keep the ball on the ground with plenty of run plays called.
BYU 17 @ TCU 10 Total 27 WIN 1.9 Units
There was a reason this was the Dusk Darling in the email. Never a doubt in this game. 7-7 at half and basically 10-7 until the end of the game. This one was a very easy pick and went exactly how it was predicted.
10:30 Texas State -8 @ San Diego State
Bet MGM (-110, 1 Unit to win 1.9 Units)
San Diego State has a mumps outbreak in the locker room. Alot of the star players for the Aztecs are out. Texas State's QB Jackson has performed well on the road in the past.
Texas State 29 @ San Diego State 31 LOSS
Texas State goes up 17-3 and then falls apart. Pick-6 and other turnovers cost Texas State the lead and then a late 4th quarter comeback was fruitless. I was confident Texas State was going to be able to handle the Aztecs, but that's why they play the game. Hats off to San Diego State and HC Sean Lewis.
Risking 12 Units
Won 13.1 Units
Week 5 Record: 7-5 (+1.1 Units)